2 analyses based on granular SIN data
For Sep 19 and 20, the curtailment counter forecast 123 and 118 GWh of SIN curtailment the day before; ONS verified 340 and 342 GWh. The cause, what we changed (in shadow, measured in a walk-forward backtest) and the week's other hits and misses.
Storms in the South, fire near transmission lines and floods: what we forecast ahead, what we only saw as it happened, and what we changed.